Today was supposed to be Palestinian election day

On 24 October 2009 – in what looked at the time to be an attempt to push Hamas to sign a reconciliation document being brokered by Egypt — Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) issued the required presidential decree calling for presidential and legislative council elections on 24 January 2010 — that is, today.

A few days later, Abu Mazen said he would not run in the next Palestinian presidential elections.

About two weeks later, Abu Mazen quickly endorsed a statement by the Independent Election Commission saying that free elections could not be held in Gaza, given the current conditions there (in particular, the lack of agreement on reconciliation). He said he would stay in his post until the next elections could be held…

Today, various Palestinian politicians in the West Bank said that their terms in office, as members of the Palestine Legislative Council, have come to an end.

Continue reading Today was supposed to be Palestinian election day

PLO Central Committee Extends Abu Mazen's term "indefinitely"

I think they mean until the next elections…right?

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) himself set the elections for January 24 [throwing down the gauntlet to Hamas at a critical moment in the Egyptian-mediated efforts to reconcile Fatah and Hamas — something which Israel and the U.S., at least, do not really want].

Now, those elections seem to have been postponed indefinitely, too (though some reported rumors mentioned a date of June 28…)

In the interview that Abu Mazen gave to Haaretz, which was published today here , he gave the following clarifications about his position: “When asked if he would run for reelection, Abbas said: ‘No. That is my final position. It is neither tactics nor maneuvering’. Although he said he respects the position of Fatah, which has asked him to stay in office, Abbas said that ‘if I can’t reach my goals I see no reason to hold on to my chair. If there is progress in talks, that will be welcome. But if elections take place before talks resume, I will not be running’.

That seems to offer some wiggle room — does it mean that if talks resume before elections take place, Abu Mazen will reconsider? And, if that’s what he meant, that would suggest that his decision to resign intended as pressure on Israel (and Obama) — and not on his Palestinian critics and rivals…

The New York Times reported that “Neither Mr. Abbas nor the PLO’s Central Council, which met on Tuesday and Wednesday in the West Bank city of Ramallah, has announced a new date for elections. The council’s decision also extends the term of the Palestinian Authority’s parliament, although it is not functioning now because of the split between Fatah and Hamas. Hamas rejected the Central Council’s formula, saying its decisions were ‘illegal’ and a subversion of democracy. Mr. Abbas’s future is uncertain at a time when many Palestinians are losing faith in the idea of a negotiated peace deal with Israel … A few weeks ago, Mr. Abbas issued a decree for presidential and parliamentary elections to be held on Jan. 24. But Palestinian election officials subsequently said the voting could not be held because Hamas, the Islamic group that controls Gaza, would not allow them to begin preparations for the elections there”. [And, as we have reported earlier, Abbas immediately agreed with the views of the Palestinian elections officials…] This NYTimes piece, by Isabelle Kershner, can be read in full here.

Politics as usual in Ramallah this weekend

The Jerusalem Post has a story today informing us that a report presented to members of the Israeli Knesset last Wednesday, and “compiled by the MACRO Center for Political Economics as part of its Position Papers on Social, Economic and Political Issues distributed to MKs and ministers on a biweekly basis to give them an overview of the major issues on the Knesset agenda”, has determined that “Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas’s chances of being reelected are slim, and the likelihood the Palestinian Authority will be able to hold successful presidential elections in January is as low as ever“. The report added that “there is little legitimacy Abbas could expect to garner from the political contest. Last Thursday, Abbas indicated he wouldn’t run in the January elections, blaming the lack of diplomatic progress between the PA and Israel as the reason”… [However, contrary to what this article stated, the Palestinian Central Election Commission is not Hamas-run…] This JPost article can be read in full here.

At the PLO’s Palestine National Council (PNC) meeting in Ramallah today (held not in the Muqata’a, but this time in the more neutral venue of the Palestinian Red CRescent Society headquarters), Yasser Abed Rabbo, Secretary of the PLO Executive Committee, “announced that the PLO’s Central Committee would meet in December, when it would take ‘all means necessary’ to protect the institutions of the PA and presidency, and would ‘refuse any blackmail deals proposed by Hamas’,” according to a report published by Ma’an News Agency. According to Ma’an, the purpose of the PNC meeting was to commemorate “the fifth anniversary of the death of late President Yasser Arafat and the Declaration of Independence [that] rhe PNC passed … during its 19th session in Algeria on 15 November 1988”. Ma’an made no mention of any decision by the PNC on the issue of Palestinian President Abbas’ decision not to run in the next elections — or of Abbas’ subsequent decision to endorse the Palestinian Central Election Commission’s decision that it would be impossible, in the current conditions, to hold the elections that Abbas declared should be held on 24 January. [The PNC has more than 650 members world-wide, but there appeared to be something like 100 present at this session in Ramallah today.] This Ma’an report is posted here.

Hamas said earlier this week that it would prohibit commemorating the 1988 Proclamation of the State of Palestine, then reversed its decision today.

A report in Haaretz today says that a U.S. official told the London-based Saudi-owned “Pan-Arab” newspaper that the U.S. will not press for negotiations “before all sides are ready.” The same Haaretz report added that “Palestinian officials had said in talks with U.S. diplomats earlier this week in Ramallah that nothing short of an Israeli commitment to a complete settlement freeze would bring Abbas to reconsider his recently made threats of resignation”. This report can be viewed here.

Meanwhile, an annual event hosted by one of the weathiest Israeli-American businessmen, Haim Saban, has gotten underway, and, according to a report in the Jerusalem Post, “Unique to this year’s event, the delegates will travel to Ramallah on November 15 and meet with Palestinian Authority Prime Minister Salaam Fayad“. According to this report, “Slated to attend are former US president Bill Clinton, California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, Deputy Secretary of State James Steinberg and Senators Joe Lieberman and Lindsey Graham – the highest-level US delegation ever to attend the conference”. This report can be read in full here.

Yesterday, the JPost reported that JPOST “Construction projects are continuing to move forward throughout parts of the capital annexed after the Six Day War, The Jerusalem Post has learned, despite remarks made this week by Housing and Construction Minister Ariel Attias that not a single construction project had been authorized in the West Bank or east Jerusalem since Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu took office at the end of March. The construction work continues as Israel, the US and the Palestinians argue about all building beyond the pre-1967 Green Line, with the Palestinians demanding a full freeze as a precondition for resuming peace talks, the US urging a freeze but not as a precondition, and Israel expressing a readiness to weigh a freeze in the future … Haim Erlich, the coordinator for policy development at Ir Amim, an NGO which wants Jerusalem ‘equitably shared’ by Israelis and Palestinians, this week produced a list of more than 20 new projects in east Jerusalem that were currently being considered for approval by the municipality … ‘There were times when the Jerusalem municipality was not authorizing any building in east Jerusalem’, Erlich said. ‘And now they’re authorizing a number of projects. It shows that it is up to them, and they are making the decisions. Maybe the Housing and Construction Ministry isn’t directly involved, but construction projects are certainly going ahead’ … While the bulk of the ongoing housing projects are being built on privately-owned land and not officially subject to the Housing and Construction Ministry’s authorization, at least one of them – a three-pronged construction project for more than 750 housing units in the northeast Jerusalem neighborhood of Pisgat Ze’ev – has moved forward during Netanyahu’s term in office … Erlich added that the municipality’s district planning committee, through which all applications for building authorization must pass, was connected to the government. ‘Every project must go through the district planning committee, which is made up of government representatives’, Erlich told the Post on Wednesday”. This JPost report is published here.

The JPost also reported yesterday that “IDF troops used ammunition equivalent to live bullets against protesters at Ni’ilin on Friday, a site where a weekly protest by Palestinians and left-wing activists from Israel and abroad are held against the West Bank security barrier. The military ordinarily only uses protest-dispersal means such as tear gas canisters and a recently introduced ‘skunk bomb’ which is harmless but exudes a pungent stench. One Border Police officer was lightly hurt in Friday’s clash when he was hit by a rock. He was given preliminary treatment at the scene and later taken to a hospital. A rioter [sic] at Friday’s protest said the military fired ‘tutu bullets’, small metal pellets similar to those fired by BB guns but of a larger caliber (0.22 inches vs. the BB gun pellets’ 0.177 inches). The man said ‘tutu bullets’ have not been used against protesters since May. According to a press statement issued by left-wing NGO Betselem on July 9th, IDF Judge Advocate General Brig.-Gen. Avihai Mandelblit said in response to a query from the organization that ‘tutu bullets’ are not considered a protest-dispersal means. Mandelblit told Betselem back in July that the rules for using ‘tutu bullets’ are “‘estrictive, and parallel to the rules of engagement when using live ammunition’ … The IDF confirmed that 0.22 inch pellets were used on Friday. ‘The use of such ammunition is done against protesters where the use of violence has been ascertained, according to the restrictive protocol followed in incidents such as this’, a statement from the IDF Spokesperson’s Unit said”. This JPost report can be viewed here.

Today, Ma’an News AGency reported that “At least six demonstrators were arrested in the northern West Bank after they breached a section of Israel’s wall on Saturday, Palestinian and Israeli sources said. The protesters said they intended to march to lands that were left isolated behind the wall in Deir Al-Ghusun, northeast of Tulkarem, and managed to break open one of the barrier’s gates before Israeli soldiers invaded the village. One demonstrator was lightly injured after being struck with a rubber-coated bullet in the leg, onlookers said. ‘Today’s demonstration was the opening salvo for a public campaign by the Deir Al-Ghusun municipality and the affected farmers’, said Anarchists Against the Wall, an Israeli group, in a statement. ‘As the demonstration was coming to an end, a large group of soldiers surprised a group of the protesters by closing in on them from the direction of the village, and arrested 18 of the village’s youth’ … The wall in the area of the village cuts deep into West Bank land, leaving about 2,500 dunams (620 acres) of the village’s land on its west side, affecting 120 land owners, including dozens who have never received permits to tend to their farmland … Palestinian demonstrators breached the wall near Ramallah on Monday. Last Friday, protesters in the village of Ni’lin also managed to tear down a section”. The IDF reported that six persons “were detained for damaging the barrier” northeast of Tulkarem. This Ma’an report can be read in full here.

Abu Mazen's manoeuvers

If the Palestinians like setting records for publication in the Guiness Book of World Records, they could add to their list — the world’s biggest knafeh (a sweet dessert made from shredded wheat stuffed with cheese, soaked in a sugary syrup, and garnished with chopped pistachios) in Nablus; the world’s longest or “largest” embroidered dress in Hebron, etc. — by entering the number of times that Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) has resigned or threatened to resign from various responsibilities and posts.

[Here is one tally, probably incomplete: “historical fact: Abbas threatened to resign twice in 2008, once in 2007, 4 times in 2006, twice in 2005, … . For that matter, the man had to be cajoled into running for president in the 1st place” – from a comment posted this morning by “Howard” on Helena Cobban’s new work blog, called “Fair Policy, Fair Discussion”, for the Council for the National Interest here.]

He also resigned, in October 2003, about six months after being appointed, by the late Yasser Arafat (and at donor insistence,), as the first Palestinian Authority Prime Minister.  At the time, as CNN reported, he complained about ” ‘Israel’s unwillingness to implement its road map commitments and to undertake any constructive measures” … [And] He also said the United States and the international community ‘did not exert sufficient influence on Israel to implement its commitments in the road map to push the peace process forward or to end its military escalation … lack of support for the government’s policies; harsh and dangerous domestic incitement against the government and the obstruction of its functions, and unjustified accusations that the government and the prime minister had the motive of either having control over everything or nothing’.”  The CNN report is posted  here.

Yet, in his letter of resignation to Yasser Arafat on 6 September 2003, Abu Mazen seemed to blame above all Yasser Arafat himself, and wrote  that “it seems … there was a deliberate and preconceived determination to undermine this government using all manner of legitimate and illegitimate means, including violence, false accusations and slurs … [But] you preferred to keep it [this government] going and use it as a decoy to draw away hatred … insulting it became an end in itself … Since you are apparently convinced that I am the Karzai of Palestine [!], that I have betrayed the trust placed in me, and that I was undeserving of the responsibility I was entrusted with, then I gladly return the responsibility to you to deal with as you see fit”… from the JOURNAL OF PALESTINE STUDIES, Vol. XXXIII –  No. 2,  Issue 130, Winter 2004.

In what appeared to be a rambling speech to the Palestine Legislative Council the same day, Abu Mazen blamed most of all Farouk Kaddoumi … yes, the same Farouk Kaddoumi that told journalists in Amman this past summer, just before the Fatah General Conference in Bethlehem, that Abbas (and Mohammad Dahlan) was aware in advance of plans to murder Yasser Arafat, and did not object.   After Abbas consolidated his hold on the Fatah movement, he subsequently ejected.

[Abbas’ resignation speech to the Palestinian Legislative Council was published in the same issue of the JOURNAL OF PALESTINE STUDIES, pages 165-172 – but cannot be obtained online without payment.  It is, however, pubished online for free by the Jewish Virtual Library, here, and it is worth re-reading. An excerpt is posted on our new page, here.]

Six years on, in the karmic rapid cycling of Palestinian politics, not much has changed — despite a lot of turmoil and an almost unbearable amount of human suffering …

In the latest situation (after the global denunciation — yes, even from governments friendly to the Palestinians, as well as from Palestinians inside and outside the occupied territory), he finally (after weeks and months of rumors and speculation) issued a Presidential decree on 24 October ordered Palestinian elections (presidential and parliamentary together) in the required three-month time limit, on 24 January.

This photo (taken on 24 October as Mahmoud Abbas ordered the 24 January elections), was published today on Yahoo news:

Fadi Arouri photo for Reuters - posted on Yahoo news

This, it was said, was to somehow shake up and focus the attention of Hamas, who have been dithering about signing yet another this-is-it Egyptian-brokered reconciliation agreement (Hamas + Fatah first, factions later) which even the American administration is now openly trying to edit.

Just over a week later (last Thursday), Abu Mazen announced in a speech at the Muqata’a Palestinian presidential headquarters in Ramallah that he would not run in those elections.

Nice tie! – this photo (taken on 5 November  as Mahmoud Abbas says he will not run in the 24 January elections), was also published today on Yahoo news:

Ammar Awad photo for Reuters - Abu Mazen at Muqata'a saying he will not run in elections - on the Yahoo news slideshow

Then followed a week of desultory and Fatah-organized “popular demonstrations”, and declarations from the now-Ramallah-based Palestinian bodies (Fatah Central Committee, Palestine Liberation Organization or PLO Central Council, etc.) saying that Abu Mazen is the only popular candidate, and he must run.

Then, on Thursday (yesterday), The Palestinian Central Elections Commitee announced that it was recommending postponement of the elections (in part because it is doubtful they could reasonably be held in Gaza, and in part because Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu said they could not be held in East Jerusalem, either) — and Abu Mazen agreed.  This means that he will stay on, of course, as President, “caretaker” or otherwise, in addition to his roles as head of the largest Palestinian political party, Fatah, and as head of the overall Palestinian representation, the PLO.

This is not easy to understand … is there a plan here? Is it Machiavellian, or is it complete disorganization?

The NYTimes said today that “The announcement removed some of the immediate uncertainty surrounding the future of the current president, Mahmoud Abbas, who said recently that he would not run for a second term … Speaking on Wednesday at a rally marking the anniversary of the death of his predecessor, Yasir Arafat, Mr. Abbas said he did not want to talk about his future. Instead he focused on the challenges in the struggle to establish an independent Palestinian state, and he called for reconciliation with Hamas. Several Palestinian officials, including Ghassan Khatib, a longtime analyst and the director of the Palestinian government media center, have said in recent days that Mr. Abbas is unlikely to resign ahead of elections because it would effectively hand power to Hamas, at least temporarily. According to the Palestinian Basic Law, if a president resigns or is incapacitated, the speaker of the parliament assumes the presidency for a maximum of 60 days while new elections are arranged. The position of speaker is currently held by a senior Hamas figure, Aziz Dweik. Mr. Dweik, who lives in the West Bank, was released from an Israeli prison in June after serving most of a three-year sentence for belonging to an illegal organization. Mr. Khatib said the delay in the election would allow time for a possible reconciliation between the Fatah movement and Hamas”. This NYTimes article can be read in full here.

Palestinian President starts procedure for elections on 24 January

Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas started the legal procedure, in Ramallah today, for presidential and legislative elections to take place in three months’ time, on 24 January 2010.

In the announcement, Abbas said that the elections would take place in the West Bank, in East Jerusalem, and in the Gaza Strip which has been controlled by Hamas since the rout of Fatah/Palestinian Preventive Security Forces there in mid-June 2007.

Hamas spokespersons denounced Abbas’ announcement.